Over/Under 2.5 Goals System

The System and the Odds

The first rule of this system is that we are betting on odds from 1.60 to 2.20. You may not bet on anything below 1.60 and you may not exceed 2.20. The system will work and profit with virtually all of the major leagues. The English Premiership and Championship, Italian Serie A, Spanish Primera, German Bundesliga, French Ligue 1, Dutch Eredivisie, Scottish Premiership. It will work on other leagues, but I recommend sticking to the above ones. They are the most widely covered and they are generally more consistent.

I don't play outside of those leagues, but I have tried the system on a few others such as the Japanese J-League, MLS, the Brazilian league and the system still functions properly. After the rule regarding the odds being between 1.60 and 2.20, there is another crucial one that you need to stick to. You may NOT use a specific team more than two times in a row.

Let us say that we are betting on Manchester City to be over 2.5 goals in a game on October 5th... and it ends over 2.5. We then bet on them to be over 2.5 goals for the following game on October 12th... if that too is successful, you may not bet on them for the 3rd in a row. It is just to play against the laws of averages and in my experience I have had success applying this. Eventually, even if it goes against statistics, it WILL end under 2.5 at some stage, even if stats say there should be goals.

Selection Process: I will describe my selection process in a brief summary and then I will elaborate on every aspect.

Let us say we are using ‘Manchester City vs. Tottenham'.

1. We need to look at the previous 3 home game scores of the home side – Goal totals need to be calculated specifically.
2. We need to look at the previous 3 away game scores of the away side – Goal totals need to be calculated specifically.
3. The betting odds need to be between 1.60 and 2.20 for the over 2.5 goals market. There are one or two ‘finer' rules that I will explain at the end. Let us put this example into action. See below:

Go to http://www.soccerway.com . On the left hand side, you will see most of the main countries and when you click on there, the leagues will be listed. Otherwise at the top you can click on the National Leagues tab and you will see a drop down box of virtually every nation in the world. This site houses statistics for everything and it really is excellent.

Click on PREMIERSHIP on the left hand side.

Now, I am going to use an example of one of the selections that we had for last weekend, which was Manchester City vs. Tottenham Hotspurs. The game was an over 2.5 Goal selection and the game ended 1-2. It could have been an even higher scoring game if it wasn't for the red card in the first half which tightened up the game a bit. Now, we are dealing with Man City and Spurs.

As you can see, you are given a few overall records as well as Head 2 Head and the finally the previous 7 or 8 games. Look at the bottom two tabs what you need to do, is click the 'Home' and 'Away' for the respective teams. Seeing Manchester City are the home side, click ‘Home' for them and seeing Tottenham Hotspurs are the ‘Away' side, just click away. You will then be shown the previous home/away results:

You will now see home and away records for both. Seeing that we are now focusing on a PREMIER LEAGUE match, we are only looking at LEAGUE games for the previous league records. What we need to do, is look at the last 3 City Results at home and the last 3 Spurs Results away from home.

They must be league games:

Manchester City: Man City 3-0 Stoke (3 goals in total) Man City 2-3 Liverpool (5 goals in total) Man City 6-0 Portsmouth (6 goals in total) Tottenham: Arsenal 4-4 Spurs (8 goals in total) Stoke 2-1 Spurs (3 goals in total) Portsmouth 2-0 Spurs (2 goals in total).

For the HOME TEAM what we need is the following:

• The home team MUST have had 7 goals or MORE in their last 3 home games.
• 2 or all 3 of the 3 previous games must have ended over 2.5

For the AWAY TEAM what we need is the following:

• The away team MUST have had 7 goals or MORE in their last 3 away games.
• The PREVIOUS game... must have had 2 or more goals in total for the entire game.
• The away team MUST have scored in 2 or 3 of the last 3 games.
• 2 or 3 of the 3 previous games must have ended over 2.5.

The above rules are key to the system and need be followed to the letter.

Now let us see how these apply:

For the HOME TEAM what we need is the following:

• The home team MUST have had 7 goals or MORE in their last 3 home games.
• 2 or all 3 of the 3 previous games must have ended over 2.5

Manchester City: Man City 3-0 Stoke (3 goals in total) Man City 2-3 Liverpool (5 goals in total) Man City 6-0 Portsmouth (6 goals in total).

Rule 1 Was... there must be 7 or more goals in the previous 3 home games. As you can see, the results have been 3-0, 2-3, 6-0, meaning that there is a total of 14... which is quite a lot by any teams standards. Rule 2 Was 2 or all 3 of the 3 games must have ended over 2.5 goals. As you can see, all of them have 3 or more, so all of them apply even though we only needed 2 of them to have been over 2.5.

So far, this is a qualifying bet.

NOW... we need to look at the AWAY side.

For the AWAY TEAM what we need is the following:

• The away team MUST have had 7 goals or MORE in their last 3 away games.
• The PREVIOUS game... must have had 2 or more goals in total for the entire game.
• The away team MUST have scored in 2 or 3 of the last 3 games.
• 2 or 3 of the 3 previous games must have ended over 2.5.

Tottenham: Arsenal 4-4 Spurs (8 goals in total) Stoke 2-1 Spurs (3 goals in total) Portsmouth 2-0 Spurs (2 goals in total).

Rule 1 Was... the away side must have had 3 or more goals in their last 3 away games. As you can see, there were 13 in total, which again is quite large. So this is a qualifier so far.

Rule 2 Was... The previous game must have 2 or more goals in total. As you can see, their previous away game had 8 goals in it so that qualifies.

Rule 3 Was... The away team must have scored in at least 2 of the last 3 games. As you can see, they did manage that. The last game they scored 4 and before that 1, so they have scored in or more of the last 3.

Rule 4 Was.. 2 or 3 of the last 3 must have ended over 2.5. As you can see, 2 of them DID end over 2.5 meaning that this is a qualifying bet.

Final Rule If you bet on a team to be over 2.5 goals and it succeeds twice (meaning that you bet on them in two consecutive games), you MUST skip that team for a game. After that you continue betting on them.

I have always done this and it has worked far better than expected. You will always get what they call the ‘law of averages' and adding in this rule does seem to help our causes against it. Let us say that you bet on a Manchester City game to be over 2.5 goals and their following game, we make the same bet. IF both bets are winning bets, we must then skip Manchester City for one game even if they qualify a third time round.

Example: Bet- Man City match Over 2.5 goals – Bet WON Bet – Man City match Over 2.5 goals – Bet WON - We must now leave them alone for the next game. Many will question this rule, but if you have a look at previous form and work out how often this would have turned a possible winner into a loser, the results are astounding.

Final Word on OVER 2.5

I am a big believer on betting on over 2.5 goals in a game. I am actually against under 2.5, however I will give you my method that I occasionally use. If you do take my recommendation, I would say stick to over 2.5 goal betting. The amount of times that I have bet on under 2.5 and one or two late or injury time goals ruin that bet completely put me off it. The more you bet on games with Overs, the more easily you will be able to identify games like that almost as a 6th sense. It is exactly like I said earlier in the book... It is better to be praying for a 3rd goal in a game, rather than to have your bet lose after 30 odd minutes!

Under 2.5 Goals Betting Method

As I mentioned, I do not like betting on under 2.5 goals, but I will share the method anyway. I also find that this method works 100% better on ITALIAN and FRENCH league football. Avoid Dutch and German league football. These are generally higher scoring. Under 2.5 Goal betting is simple. Basically what we want are score lines of : 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 0-2 Any of those and we would win our bet. So, onto the method itself. It is not as complex as the Over 2.5, but still generally effective. What we need to do, is have a look at the home side as well as the away sides' last two games. Have a look below:

Selection Method: HOME team rules

• Previous three home games must have ended under 2.5 goals in at least 2 of the 3.
• One or more of the score lines must contain 0 goals for the home or away side. (In any of the 3 games).

AWAY TEAM

• Last three away games must be UNDER 2.5 goals in at least 2 or 3 of the 3.
• The AWAY side must not have scored in at least 1 of the last 3 away games.

PREVIOUS MEETINGS: The previous meeting of this game in the previous season (this exact fixture we are focusing on), must be under 2.5. In other words it must have ended 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1, 2-0 or 0-2. As you can see, the method is definitely easier to implement and it is effective.

Our Example: French Ligue 1: PSG v Lille Have a look at home and away records currently (remember league only): PSG at home in the last 3 games in the league:

Rule 1: 0-1 3-2 0-1 We require 2 or 3 of the games to have ended under 2.5. As you can see, 2 of the 3 did end under 2.5 goals.

Rule 2: Requires that 1 or more of the scores must have a 0 somewhere. As you can see, in their last game they failed to score (0-1) and in the 3rd last game, they failed to score again in another (0-1).

Lille (away from home).

As you can see:

Rule 1: 0-0 2-2 0-2 Again, 2 of the 3 have ended under 2.5 goals.

Rule 2: The away side must not have scored in at least 1 of the last 3 games. As you can see, that this applies to us yet again and in their previous game, they did not score in another scoreless draw.

THE FINAL RULE: Is to check previous results between these sides. We need to check the last fixture only. If you have a look at their previous meetings, which you can find by comparing the two sides on the SoccerWay web site exactly the same way you were shown earlier:

The last result between these two (When PSG were at home), ended 1-1, which is an under 2.5 goal game. Remember, the fixture must be the corresponding on to the previous season. If they didn't face each other for some reason such as relegation, then completely ignore this rule! This is just an extra added check which does help.

Staking

If you wish to use flat stakes only, do the following: It is recommend you start with a minimum bank of £50. If this is the case, I recommend £4 stakes only. If you have a bank of £100, then your stakes should be £8 which is 8% of the bank at all time. The aim is to always stake 8% no matter what the bank is. If you want to be safe, stick to 5%. It is far safer but obviously, profits will be lower. If you need to calculate 8% each time, the calculation is simple:

Divide your entire bank by 100 and then multiply it by 8 so if your bank is 342:

342 / 100 * 8 = £27.36.

Final Word

I'll say it again – stick to betting on OVER 2.5 goals in a game. Under 2.5 goals is far trickier to select and the result are just never as good. The method outlined in this manual are the ones that I have been putting to use for years.

The over 2.5 goal method, to be fair, has quite a few rules and at the beginning it may take you longer than usual to select your bets, but after a week or two of practice, you will be able to select these games instinctively just by looking at the previous results.

I've been using these methods and have made money. I used to sell this football system but am now distributing it for free for the benefit of all. However, this being free information I cannot warrant that this system will work for you or whether it will work for that matter. For one you need to be disciplined and stick to the system.